Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.030737 0.035956 0.041712 0.048521 0.056344 0.065037 0.075419
2025-07-06 0.022564 0.029238 0.037299 0.047706 0.060740 0.076469 0.096832
2025-07-13 0.018517 0.026223 0.036289 0.050291 0.069141 0.093497 0.127182
2025-07-20 0.015359 0.023555 0.035033 0.052082 0.076526 0.110017 0.159019
2025-07-27 0.012201 0.020159 0.032049 0.050808 0.079289 0.120429 0.183728
2025-08-03 0.010016 0.017721 0.029931 0.050276 0.082787 0.132006 0.211160
2025-08-10 0.008118 0.015332 0.027419 0.048618 0.084147 0.140317 0.234394
2025-08-17 0.006710 0.013476 0.025421 0.047391 0.085866 0.149149 0.259125
2025-08-24 0.005772 0.012269 0.024307 0.047429 0.089569 0.161400 0.290426
2025-08-31 0.004840 0.010886 0.022629 0.046168 0.090760 0.169436 0.315321
2025-09-07 0.004445 0.010499 0.022755 0.048235 0.098134 0.188792 0.361478
2025-09-14 0.003896 0.009681 0.021893 0.048244 0.101606 0.201458 0.396847
2025-09-21 0.003293 0.008635 0.020425 0.046884 0.102378 0.209458 0.424926
2025-09-28 0.002840 0.007844 0.019373 0.046234 0.104475 0.220162 0.459135
2025-10-05 0.002676 0.007727 0.019796 0.048819 0.113538 0.245247 0.523342
2025-10-12 0.002474 0.007472 0.019858 0.050601 0.121091 0.268033 0.585060
2025-10-19 0.002127 0.006752 0.018692 0.049380 0.121931 0.277197 0.620159
2025-10-26 0.001865 0.006214 0.017879 0.048872 0.124282 0.289688 0.663162
2025-11-02 0.001592 0.005573 0.016693 0.047261 0.123870 0.296189 0.694072
2025-11-09 0.001375 0.005053 0.015731 0.046068 0.124280 0.304475 0.729481
2025-11-16 0.001231 0.004734 0.015269 0.046107 0.127674 0.319712 0.781386
2025-11-23 0.001065 0.004295 0.014387 0.044878 0.127742 0.327319 0.816820
2025-11-30 0.001015 0.004249 0.014657 0.046893 0.136357 0.355656 0.901898